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Jacob Duffy's winning hand

Pratyush Sinha 
it-has-taken-jacob-duffy-some-time-to-break-onto-the-big-stage
It has taken Jacob Duffy some time to break onto the big stage ©Getty

As his current bio on X, Jacob Duffy carries a line that does not immediately belong to cricket.

"Deuces never loses."

It began, he says, as an inside joke during online poker sessions with teammate Michael Rae. Whenever pocket twos appeared, the pair would shove everything in, almost irrationally, a little bravely, but above all, in the spirit of fun.

He smiles as he explains it, but the metaphor lingers longer than he lets on.

Pocket twos are statistically one of the weakest starting hands in poker. Most players fold them without hesitation. But every once in a while, they hold. And when they do, the win feels outsized. Not because the hand was dominant, but because you stayed in.

Duffy's career has unfolded in much the same way.

He signed a first-class contract with Otago at 17. In his T20 debut season, still in his final year at Southland Boys' High School, he dismissed Kane Williamson and Tim Southee in the same spell. That was in 2012. He went on to represent New Zealand at an Under-19 World Cup and made headlines before he had even fully grown into his body.

The trajectory seemed obvious. He was a prodigy. And then, for a long time, he wasn't. There would be no international debut until 2020, and even then he sat out more matches than he played.

"Some guys at the international scene are very young," Duffy tells Cricbuzz. "My career, I guess, has gone up and down a lot."

Looking back, Duffy feels that after a couple of good seasons at the domestic level, the better batters had "figured me out". He needed an extra edge. "I probably wasn't bowling as fast as what's required at international level," he explains. "But when I tried to do that, my bowling picked up some bad habits."

In his search for pace, Duffy ended up losing his rhythm. The harder he pushed, the further his action drifted from what had once felt natural. And everybody around him had a solution to offer.

"I'm a pretty open sort of guy," Duffy says. "I like to take on a lot of feedback. I've had a lot of different voices over the years. You take the good stuff and some of the not-so-good stuff and give it a go."

A lot of the good stuff came from Rob Walter, who was in charge of Otago at the time, and is now the head coach of New Zealand. What followed were small adjustments to the run-up, a straighter followthrough, conversations that stretched beyond a single net session. The changes felt technical at the time. The lessons proved longer-lasting.

"To go through that whole rehab phase, it was not only good for me at the time, but now I understand my action," Duffy says. "I understand what works, what I need to do to get back to my best, the cues and the body parts that need to be going in the right direction to give me my swing, my seam presentation.

"You don't know what you don't know. Now I feel like I know myself well. I know when things aren't going well, how to get back to my best. I feel like I can find my way."

In between, there were seasons that were good and others that drifted. "It's not like I went away," Duffy is quick to remind. There were international tours as part of extended New Zealand squads, one particularly to the UK in 2015, where the Dukes ball suited his skill set but the established trio of Tim Southee, Trent Boult and Neil Wagner stood firmly in front of him. There was the awareness that his own style overlapped too closely with Southee's, except Southee bowled quicker.

"You are where you are," Duffy says. "I enjoy playing for Otago. People say you grind away, but I enjoy cricket. I enjoy playing. When you get the one game here and there, you put a lot of pressure on yourself. You think, I've got to make the most of this. But when you get consecutive games and you know the coach backs you, that's when you start to feel like you belong."

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Jacob Duffy was 17 when he signed a contract with Otago ©Getty

It is rare to be both a prodigy and a late bloomer. Rarer still to accept the space between the two.

Duffy's international debut arrived in 2020, in the strange elasticity of Covid-era cricket when larger squads created unlikely openings. With Southee rested, Duffy stepped in. He picked up a wicket with his second ball and finished with 4 for 33, the best figures by a Black Cap on T20I debut.

And then he waited again.

Across formats, his international appearances were scattered across five years. There were games with months in between. There were tours where he travelled but did not play. In many ways, the final phase of his growth happened in Southee's shadow, the man he was often compared to and the man who also became his mentor.

"As soon as I came into the environment, Tim put his arm around me," Duffy says. "He helped me out a lot, made me feel comfortable. He was a great guy to train with and work alongside. I never actually got to play a game with him. Just because of that similarity in our style. And you understand it."

So the time on the sidelines continued.

"It was not frustrating, don't know if you can say that," he says. "Domestic cricket in New Zealand is really good. You make a decent living. You get opportunities over the winter to go and play club cricket overseas. I enjoy cricket."

The tide finally turned last year. If patience defined the start and middle of his career, reward has framed the phase he occupies now.

In 2025, Duffy finally received the coveted Test Cap. He claimed 81 wickets across formats at an average of 17.11, eclipsing a 40-year-old New Zealand record held by Richard Hadlee. He rose to No.1 in the ICC Men's T20 rankings for bowlers. He secured an IPL contract with Royal Challengers Bengaluru. Now he is playing in his first senior men's World Cup and about to become a father.

"Touch wood," Duffy whispers, almost reflexively.

"A big part of it is proving to yourself that you're good enough at international level. I guess it might be grounded in a lot of domestic cricket. Until you get there and do it, you don't quite know if you're good enough. To actually go out there and prove to yourself in a way that you can compete at the international level - not only compete, but have some match-winning influences from time to time. I think that's pretty cool. It's been very enjoyable."

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In many ways, the final phase of Duffy's growth happened in Southee's shadow, the man he was often compared to ©Getty

The joy of playing cricket began long before analysis screens and workload management made their way into his life.

In Lumsden, a Southland town with a population barely over 500, his father rolled out a makeshift pitch in the backyard using local clay and an old concrete roller. There were three brothers. Duffy, the youngest, often fielded or kept wicket while the older two batted and bowled.

Later, in Invercargill, the backyard became a competitive theatre. Duffy, now older, got his fair share of batting and bowling, playing alongside his brothers' friends. "There were tears," he says, laughing. There were also mini World Cups. New Zealand vs India on some days, New Zealand vs Australia on others. Overs were bowled without counting. Matches stretched until someone was called in for dinner.

"It's just awesome looking back," Duffy says. "I know it's just backyard cricket. You're playing a lot of cricket. You think about bowling overs and stuff these days. Obviously, because as a kid, you don't even think about that. But that has, in a weird way, maybe even set you up a little bit to manage a bit of load."

It also perhaps explains why the years of waiting did not harden him. And informs how he approaches what has come since.

His IPL base price of INR 2 crore, he admits, was not purely professional calculus. With his wife Natasha expecting their first child, time away from her carried a different weight.

"I'll be honest, with this World Cup and this tour, we're already two months here [in India/Sri Lanka] and my wife is pregnant at home," Duffy says. "It was kind of like, it's going to be four months straight and I'm going to miss the pregnancy. That was probably more to do with the base price and everything. I sort of thought, if I go for that, then she's going to have to do the pregnancy mostly on her own which is not an easy thing to go through. So, I think you're making it worthwhile to go through that sort of sacrifice there."

He speaks with curiosity about sharing a dressing room with Virat Kohli and Josh Hazlewood, about walking out at the Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru. He calls Bengaluru "one of my favourite cities" in India.

"I'll play alongside Josh Hazlewood, who I've always admired, so I'm looking forward to getting in his ear and seeing what it's all about, what he's about and how he goes about his work," Duffy says.

"I've seen Virat from the other side and how the local people treat him. It'll be incredible to see what it's actually like from being in his own changing room. It'll be a bizarre experience I'm sure."

The chaos does not overwhelm him. It intrigues him.

"You kind of embrace the chaos," he says. "It's overwhelming for the senses. But it's only for a short time. I enjoy it."

There is something fitting about a bowler who speaks of deception while also carrying a poker mantra in his bio.

"I think you've got to create deception somehow," he says. "Whether it's off the wicket or in the air. But it's knowing when to use it. And the sucky thing is you can absolutely nail it and still get hit out of the park. But I look at it like, what's the worst that can happen? As a bowler in 2026, guys are hitting you for six anyway. You might as well try something new."

In the PowerPlay, Duffy relies on swing, shaping the ball away from right-handers. At the death, he turns to off-cutters and the back-of-the-hand slower ball, which are deliveries built on nuance and disguise.

Preparation, for him, is a quiet study of context. "Cricket's so different in different parts of the world," he says. "Before (a series in) Bangladesh (last year), I went and watched Mustafizur (Rahman). I look at what the locals are doing in their own conditions. I'm not writing it all down in a book, but I'm watching with interest."

Poker, he says, stays with him long after the cards are put away. "Poker's got some life lessons in there. All you can do is get it in and get it in good. Whatever happens, as soon as you let the ball go, there's nothing you can do."

For a long time, Duffy was the promising teenager who did not quite kick on. Now, at 31, he is among the world's top-ranked T20 bowlers, playing in his first World Cup, and living through what may be the most complete phase of his life.

Pocket twos rarely look like a winning hand at first glance. But sometimes, if you stay in long enough like Jacob Duffy, they are.

© Cricbuzz